The Confidence Trap occurs when LLMs sound certain while failing. Relying on...

https://list-wiki.win/index.php/The_Confidence_Trap:_Why_Your_Model_Isn%27t_Just_Lying_to_You%E2%80%94It%27s_Lying_to_Itself

The Confidence Trap occurs when LLMs sound certain while failing. Relying on one score is risky. Our April 2026 audit of 1,324 turns saw 99.1% signal detection but 0.9% silent failures